Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1245.354525 1442.792149 1672.453332 1962.073313 2321.473526 2758.070131 3.336796e+03
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 942.408629 1194.508333 1526.251624 2007.320375 2709.528520 3736.064679 5.431649e+03
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 783.042686 1045.313477 1416.585073 2004.025295 2958.935264 4551.452153 7.673355e+03
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 665.200035 921.206561 1303.191464 1948.225459 3088.395808 5206.997135 1.003821e+04
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 596.515978 853.233686 1254.712480 1974.451736 3352.365431 6204.622630 1.385219e+04
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 526.041289 770.214742 1165.424863 1906.375446 3415.057743 6821.759741 1.732322e+04
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 472.635072 706.293605 1096.124969 1857.029613 3496.998529 7521.720499 2.182334e+04
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 427.866126 650.580715 1031.929807 1802.867385 3550.915250 8183.742458 2.711381e+04
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 410.649376 638.727978 1042.875413 1899.368307 3982.170260 10146.760040 4.143709e+04
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 390.777363 619.615990 1037.173754 1959.278805 4347.083094 12187.997143 6.201311e+04
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 374.350813 604.566937 1036.670819 2030.231043 4771.363714 14815.569180 9.789647e+04
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 352.084301 576.398487 1006.401327 2025.911185 4980.695665 16815.362435 1.410657e+05
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 333.860725 556.148070 993.991333 2074.537173 5419.975250 20600.927226 2.540078e+05
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 316.941644 537.248472 983.270471 2130.384793 5939.540095 25824.936467 5.381343e+05
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 297.470942 511.053225 952.765833 2126.366553 6250.928895 30528.753289 1.113726e+06
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 276.275420 479.275050 905.666211 2066.090126 6322.548011 33866.722532 2.137173e+06
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 263.283462 462.769806 890.703774 2094.426979 6783.362025 41687.800701 7.835412e+06
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 245.276388 434.305978 844.657924 2020.887218 6766.081749 45246.762214 2.225735e+07
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 230.241839 410.794524 807.600889 1967.621130 6824.647534 50110.568247 1.270515e+08
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 216.318378 388.525990 771.105254 1909.195586 6836.245517 54792.430108 4.025333e+09
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 212.283714 386.901232 784.233770 2013.321324 7758.462695 77141.294371 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 206.368417 380.655869 785.145875 2078.030935 8535.451770 104125.084305 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 201.299680 375.805626 788.971569 2154.729944 9470.949432 146547.376745 NaN